A common
belief among investors is that all advisors deliver similar results: stocks
recommended by analysts rise during bull markets and fall during bear markets.
While this observation appears logical on the surface, it overlooks how stock
prices actually move and how wealth is created over time.
To
understand this better, we need to break stock price movement into its two fundamental components.
1. Market Movement
(Beta): The Inevitable Influence
The first
component is Beta, which
measures how a stock moves in relation to the broader market index, such as the
Nifty 50.
Most
stocks have a positive correlation with
the market. When markets rise, stock prices generally move up; when
markets fall, even fundamentally strong stocks often correct. This is
unavoidable and applies to almost all stocks. Only a handful of outliers
consistently deliver positive returns regardless of market direction—and these
are rare.
So yes,
during market downturns, portfolios may show temporary declines. This does not
automatically mean poor stock selection or flawed advice—it reflects normal
market behavior.
2. Business Performance
(Alpha): Where Real Wealth Is Created
The
second component is Alpha, which
comes from the company’s fundamentals:
- Revenue and profit
growth
- Order book strength
- Balance sheet quality
- Management execution
- Valuation re-rating
Unlike
market movements, fundamental changes
are slow and gradual. Businesses do not transform overnight. As a
result, price appreciation driven by fundamentals tends to unfold over multiple years, not months.
This is
where genuine investing skill lies—identifying businesses with strong
fundamentals early and holding them through market noise.
Why High-Growth Stocks
Fall More—and Rise Stronger
An
important but often misunderstood point is that high-growth stocks usually fall more than the market during corrections.
This happens because:
- Expectations are
higher
- Valuations compress
faster during uncertainty
However,
when markets stabilize and confidence returns, these same stocks often recover faster and rise more sharply,
provided their fundamentals remain intact.
Volatility,
therefore, is not a sign of weakness—it is often the price investors pay for
higher long-term returns.
How Should Investors
Measure Performance?
Judging
an advisor or a strategy based on short-term market phases leads to incorrect
conclusions. Markets move in cycles, but business growth compounds over time.
The right
way to assess performance is over a minimum
period of 4 years or more—long enough for:
- Earnings growth to
materialize
- Valuation cycles to
normalize
- Alpha to clearly
separate from market noise
This is
when the difference between short-term market participation and long-term
investing becomes evident.
Final Thoughts
Markets
will rise and fall. That is inevitable. What matters is not avoiding
volatility, but using it intelligently.
Investors
who understand the difference between market-driven
movement (Beta) and business-driven
growth (Alpha) are better equipped to stay patient, stay invested, and
ultimately build meaningful wealth.
In
investing, time is not the enemy—impatience
is.
For your success!
Dr. Anil Kumar Asnani
SEBI Reg. Research Analyst
Whatsapp: 9755920780
Mobile: 9131361959
Website: https://www.smartverc.com